The Miami Dolphins will try to continue their winning ways and stay atop the AFC East when they take on the Cincinnati Bengals on Thursday Night Football. The Dolphins (3-0) have been one of the NFL‘s biggest surprises to start the season after finishing 9-8 a year ago. Miami has wins over playoff contenders New England, Baltimore and Buffalo. The defending AFC champion Bengals (1-2) have struggled early with losses against Pittsburgh and at Dallas, but rebounded last Sunday with a 27-12 victory over the Jets in New York.
Kickoff from Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Cincinnati is a four-point favorite in the latest Bengals vs. Dolphins odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 47. Before making any Dolphins vs. Bengals picks, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 4 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 139-103 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Dolphins vs. Bengals and just locked in its picks and TND predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for Dolphins vs. Bengals:
- Bengals vs. Dolphins spread: Cincinnati -4
- Bengals vs. Dolphins over/under: 47 points
- Bengals vs. Dolphins money line: Dolphins +175, Bengals -210
- MIA: Dolphins are 4-0 against the spread in their last four September games
- CIN: Bengals have covered seven straight games against teams with winning records
- Bengals vs. Dolphins picks: See picks here
Why the Bengals can cover
Quarterback Joe Burrow had his best game of the season last Sunday against the New York Jets, completing 23 of 36 passes (63.9 percent) for 275 yards and three touchdowns for a rating of 114.9. In three starts this season, he has been solid despite the team’s slow start, completing 80 of 125 passes (64 percent) for 812 yards and six touchdowns. He has four interceptions and sacked 15 times with a rating of 85.1. Burrow has also burned opposing defenses with his mobility, rushing 15 times for 73 yards (4.9 average), including a long of 23 yards. He has converted five first downs on the ground.
Also powering the Bengals’ offense is running back Joe Mixon, who has carried 58 times for 163 yards (2.8 average) and one explosive play of 31 yards. He has also converted six first downs. For his career, Mixon has rushed for 4,727 yards on 1,162 attempts (4.1 average) and 33 touchdowns and 237 first-down conversions. In 69 career games, Mixon also has 184 receptions for 1,425 yards (7.7 average) and eight scores.
Why the Dolphins can cover
Although quarterback Tua Tagovailoa could play on Thursday, he injured his back and ankle in the win over the Buffalo Bills on Sunday and his status is far from certain. If he does play, however, the Dolphins’ offense will greatly benefit. Tagovailoa has been on fire, completing 72 of 101 passes (71.3 percent) for 925 yards and eight touchdowns. He has been intercepted twice and been sacked five times, but has a rating of 117.8.
Also helping power the Miami offense is veteran wide receiver Tyreek Hill, who leads the team with 21 catches for 317 yards (15.1 average) and two touchdowns. Hill also has six explosive plays of 20 or more yards, including a season-high of 60 yards. He has also converted 13 first downs. The former Kansas City Chiefs standout has been in the league since 2016 and has 500 receptions for 6,947 yards (13.9 average) and 58 TDs.
How to make Dolphins vs. Bengals picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Under the point total, calling for 47 points. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in more than 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the model’s TNF picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Dolphins vs. Bengals on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread cashes in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Dolphins vs. Bengals spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up almost $7,000 on its NFL picks since 2017, and find out.